Central Bank Digital Currency is a significant milestone in the evolution of fintech and payments. It holds profound political, social, and economic implications for the global community.
114 countries holding more than 95% of the world’s GDP are actively exploring the benefits of Central Bank Digital Currency (CBDC). 11 countries, including the Bahamas, Nigeria, Jamaica, and a few other Caribbean nations, have already launched their CBDCs. More than for capacity development, customized advisory services, and surveillance synergies. By 2030, the value of CBDC payments is expected to reach $213 billion annually.
In India, the Reserve Bank floated the e-Rupee pilot in 2022 in two versions: CBDC-Wholesale (CBDC-W) and CBDC-Retail (CBDC-R). Select financial institutions have restricted access to the Wholesale e-Rupee, and the Retail e-Rupee is intended to be used by all non-financial consumers and businesses. The use case for the Wholesale e-Rupee pilot is the secondary market transaction settlement of government securities (G-secs). The Retail e-Rupee is intended for customer transactions through a digital wallet (Android compatible) offered by the participating banks in the pilot program. Today, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) wants to expand the ongoing pilot to FY24 to incorporate more locations, participating banks, use cases, and features.
With so much action happening on the CBDC front, it is important that you get a 360-degree view of this government-backed digital currency to stay ahead of the curve.
In this article, we guide you through the intricacies of CBDCs, their advantages, disadvantages, and potential impact on the global financial landscape.
So, buckle up and get ready to dive into the world of CBDC!
What is a Central Bank Digital Currency?
A Central Bank Digital Currency is a form of fiat currency issued and regulated by a country's central bank. It is a high-security instrument and a digital equivalent of traditional physical currencies that can be used alongside existing forms of money. It provides a secure and efficient means of conducting transactions and facilitating financial inclusion.
For example, e-Rupee is India’s CBDC and is the digital equivalent of the sovereign Indian rupee. It is convertible to paper currency without changing in value. The e-Rupee will appear on the RBI’s balance sheet as a means to build trust, safety, liquidity, settlement finality, and integrity.
Why do central banks issue digital currencies?
Central banks across the globe are exploring CBDC issuance at different stages. Some of them are in the research phase, while others are in the Proof of Concept (POC) or pilot stage. And a handful of them have already launched central bank-backed digital currencies.
Are you wondering why there is so much traction around CBDCs?
Here are common reasons why the global central banking community and governments want to launch digital currencies.
- Encourage the growing digital economy
- Reduce the cost of transactions and physical cash management
- Create an efficient monetary payment system
- Promote financial inclusion
- Introduce competition and resilience in the domestic payments market
- Increase efficiency in payments
- Create programmable money and improve transparency
- Enable the seamless flow of monetary and fiscal policies
CBDCs are distinctively different from cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin. They are backed by a central authority and have legal tender status. Thus, CBDCs are more secure and stable when compared to decentralized cryptocurrencies, which come with inherent volatility and potential security risks.
Principles & Policy frameworks of CBDC
The regulatory framework for CBDCs is still being developed, but there are a number of principles that are emerging. These principles include that CBDCs should be as follows.
- Issued by the central bank and be a direct liability of the central bank. This will ensure that CBDCs are backed by the full faith and credit of the government.
- Accessible to all citizens and residents by promoting financial inclusion and reduce the reliance on cash.
- Subject to the same AML/CFT regulations as other financial products and prevent CBDCs from being used for illegal activities.
- Compatible with existing payment systems, making it easier for people to use CBDCs for everyday transactions.
The impact of CBDC on monetary policy implementation is a complex issue that is still being debated by economists and central bankers. There are a number of potential channels through which CBDC could affect monetary policy, including:
Money velocity: CBDC could lead to an increase in money velocity, as people hold less cash and more CBDC in their digital wallets. This could make it more difficult for central banks to control the money supply and interest rates.
Bank deposit disintermediation: If people switch from holding bank deposits to CBDC, this could lead to a decline in bank lending and a contraction in the money supply. This could make it more difficult for central banks to stimulate the economy.
Volatility of bank reserves: CBDC could lead to more volatility in bank reserves, as people move their CBDC holdings between different institutions. This could make it more difficult for central banks to implement monetary policy smoothly.
Currency substitution: If CBDC becomes widely adopted, it could lead to currency substitution, as people switch from holding foreign currency to CBDC. This could make it more difficult for central banks to manage their exchange rates.
The impact of CBDC on monetary policy implementation will depend on a number of factors, including the design of CBDC, the level of adoption, and the overall state of the economy. However, it is clear that CBDC could have a significant impact on the way that monetary policy is implemented.
Advantages of CBDC
- Promotes financial inclusion and economic growth
- Cost-effective cross-border payments
- Increased security
- Impact on cash
However, there are also a number of potential benefits to using a CBDC. It offers more advantages over cash, such as convenience, speed, and security. This might even lead to a possibility of reduction in the use of cash. As a result, people may be more likely to use CBDCs for everyday transactions, such as buying groceries or paying for a taxi. CBDCs could lead to a decline in the use of cash in certain areas, such as retail transactions. However, cash is still widely used in many parts of the world for a variety of reasons, such as for informal transactions, for payments to unbanked individuals, and for payments in areas with poor internet connectivity. As a result, it is unlikely that CBDCs will completely replace cash. Hence, nothing can be predicted now.
Disadvantages of CBDCs
As with any new technology that comes in, there are a few potential disadvantages too.
- Increased surveillance
- Disintermediation of commercial banks
- Potential for cyberattacks
CBDC models
There are two primary models being considered for the implementation of Central Bank Digital Currencies: Wholesale and Retail.
- Wholesale CBDC model
One of the key benefits of wholesale CBDC is that it can help reduce the risk of fraud and financial crimes. This is because the transactions are conducted digitally and are recorded on a blockchain or other distributed ledger, making it much more difficult for fraudsters to manipulate or falsify the data.
Wholesale CBDCs can be used to settle large-value payments, such as interbank transfers and securities transactions. They provide liquidity to financial markets and help streamline the settlement process for financial institutions. Because the transactions are conducted digitally, they can be settled much more quickly and efficiently than traditional paper-based transactions.
Overall, wholesale CBDC is an exciting development in the world of digital currencies and has the potential to revolutionize the way that financial institutions conduct transactions and settle accounts.
- Retail CBDC model
Retail CBDCs can come in two forms:
- Account-based access - Here, transactions are approved based on user identity verification, with the central bank processing the transaction and transferring funds between accounts.
- Token-based access - In this model, transactions are established through public-private key pairs and digital signatures, offering a higher level of privacy at the potential risk of losing access to funds if a user forgets their private key.
There are three primary retail CBDC architectures being explored: direct, indirect, and hybrid.
- Direct (1-tier) model
- Indirect (2-tier) model
- Hybrid model
CBDC implementation around the world
As we already discussed, CBDC implementations are underway across the globe. With the Bahamas (Sand Dollar), Nigeria (e-Naira), Jamaica (Jam-Dex), and a few other Caribbean nations leading the way, the developed world is waking up to its advantages.
Here’s where some of the leading nations are in their CBDC journey.
China
China is one of the most advanced countries in terms of CBDC implementation. The People's Bank of China (PBOC) has been working on its digital currency, the Digital Currency Electronic Payment (DCEP), for several years. As of January 2023, the DCEP represented 0.13 percent of the cash and reserves held by the central bank. Though it looks like a small percentage, it is a significant increase from the 0.05% that the DCEP represented in December 2022. The PBOC has said that it plans to increase the circulation of the DCEP in the coming months and years.
Sweden
Sweden is another country that is exploring the potential of CBDCs, with the Riksbank (Sweden's central bank) having launched a pilot program for its digital currency, the e-krona. The e-krona is intended to provide a secure and efficient alternative to traditional payment methods and is currently being tested in a limited number of scenarios.
The Bahamas
The Bahamas launched the world's first nationwide CBDC. The Central Bank of The Bahamas launched its digital currency, the Sand Dollar, in October 2020. The Sand Dollar is intended to provide a secure and efficient way for people to make payments and conduct transactions, particularly in remote areas where traditional banking services may not be available.
The UAE
The Central Bank of the United Arab Emirates (CBUAE) has announced its plans to launch a digital currency by 2026. It expects to complete the first phase of its central bank digital currency strategy around mid-2024, which includes proof-of-concept work for a wholesale and retail CBDC.
The CBDC is expected to address the challenges of domestic and cross-border payments, enhance financial inclusion, and promote a cashless society. It will also help to strengthen the UAE's payment infrastructure by adding more robust payment channels and ensuring a resilient and reliable financial system.
Saudi Arabia
The Saudi Central Bank (SAMA) is currently in the process of experimenting with and implementing a CBDC. The project is still in the early stages, but SAMA has already completed a proof of concept with the Central Bank of the United Arab Emirates (CBUAE). The POC showed that a CBDC could be used to facilitate cross-border payments between the two countries.
SAMA is now working on a second POC, which will focus on domestic wholesale CBDC use cases. This POC will involve the collaboration of local banks and fintechs. The goal of the second POC is to test the economic impact of implementing a CBDC, as well as market readiness and the potential for fast applications of a CBDC-based payment solution.
Singapore
The Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) is also actively exploring the implementation of a retail CBDC. MAS has been conducting research and development on CBDCs since 2017. In 2021, it launched Project Orchid, a multi-year initiative to explore the design, technology, and potential use cases for a retail CBDC in Singapore.
Retail CBDCs in Singapore would likely be facilitated through a public-private partnership, with the MAS issuing the digital Singapore dollar and the private sector handling distribution and customer-facing activities.
The MAS has already completed the first phase of its CBDC project. The country has launched an initiative called Ubin+ to strengthen its capabilities in digital currency-based infrastructure for cross-border transactions. Ubin+ will focus on studying business models and technical standards, developing infrastructure to support cross-border connectivity and atomic settlement of currency transactions, and establishing policy guidelines for connectivity across borders.
European Union
The European Union is currently exploring the potential of CBDCs, with the European Central Bank (ECB) having launched a public consultation on the topic in 2020. The ECB is considering a range of options for a potential digital euro, including both wholesale and retail models.
Other countries, such as Uruguay, Ukraine, Russia, South Africa, and India, are in various stages of research, development, and pilot testing for their own CBDCs. Overall, CBDC implementation is an exciting area of development, with many countries around the world exploring the potential benefits of digital currencies.
Future developments in the field of CBDCs
As more countries explore the potential benefits and challenges of implementing Central Bank Digital Currencies, it is expected that we will see further advancements and innovations in this field.
Some potential future developments include:
- Greater interoperability between different CBDCs, allowing for seamless cross-border transactions and reducing reliance on traditional correspondent banking networks.
- The integration of CBDCs with other emerging technologies, such as artificial intelligence, machine learning, and the Internet of Things, to further enhance financial services and enable new use cases.
- Increased collaboration between central banks, governments, and private sector partners to develop and implement CBDCs that address the unique needs and challenges of each country.
Shaping the financial future
Central Bank Digital Currencies present a promising opportunity to revolutionize the global financial landscape, offering potential benefits such as increased financial inclusion, improved cross-border payments, and enhanced security. However, the implementation of CBDCs also presents significant challenges, including potential risks to privacy, cybersecurity, and financial stability.
As more countries continue to explore the potential of CBDCs, it will be crucial to learn from the experiences of early adopters and address the various risks associated with digital currencies. By doing so, we can work towards a more inclusive and efficient global financial system that harnesses the power of digital innovation to drive economic growth and prosperity for all.
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